Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 3.197042 3.387085 3.587206 3.814449 4.066325 4.338105 4.655091
2025-10-19 2.916401 3.187791 3.489021 3.851400 4.279969 4.776496 5.404164
2025-10-26 2.724606 3.040300 3.403349 3.858076 4.421861 5.111462 6.041597
2025-11-02 2.550653 2.888643 3.287462 3.802244 4.464066 5.309307 6.512549
2025-11-09 2.396891 2.745444 3.164989 3.719517 4.453628 5.425436 6.874659
2025-11-16 2.282659 2.640756 3.079446 3.671791 4.477348 5.580370 7.301390
2025-11-23 2.213976 2.586931 3.052003 3.693854 4.591605 5.866135 7.956965
2025-11-30 2.149217 2.533275 3.019755 3.704438 4.686995 6.129968 8.615044
2025-12-07 2.048129 2.427414 2.912636 3.604168 4.613242 6.128792 8.826893
2025-12-14 1.965505 2.341739 2.827655 3.528638 4.568341 6.165145 9.105583
2025-12-21 1.909767 2.288728 2.783426 3.506982 4.600490 6.324316 9.629957
2025-12-28 1.857321 2.237723 2.739147 3.481870 4.624078 6.469634 10.150960
2026-01-04 1.829985 2.220482 2.741969 3.527776 4.765594 6.836187 11.210006
2026-01-11 1.802078 2.201326 2.741145 3.568115 4.901709 7.211351 12.390833
2026-01-18 1.765510 2.168598 2.719231 3.574503 4.981526 7.493014 13.438195
2026-01-25 1.714521 2.113961 2.663480 3.525251 4.962979 7.585295 14.046089
2026-02-01 1.659551 2.051994 2.594758 3.452125 4.897857 7.579081 14.397337
2026-02-08 1.616753 2.005779 2.547209 3.409881 4.883320 7.671862 15.048220
2026-02-15 1.594009 1.987037 2.538977 3.429414 4.978981 8.001127 16.494800
2026-02-22 1.569709 1.965194 2.525126 3.438783 5.056472 8.302228 17.984316
2026-03-01 1.520113 1.905778 2.453262 3.349951 4.946714 8.181121 18.029784
2026-03-08 1.478545 1.856954 2.395945 3.282915 4.873921 8.136244 18.339790
2026-03-15 1.451573 1.828452 2.368276 3.263674 4.889614 8.293533 19.449968